Fundamental Analysis & News

Interest rates, inflation, employment data and the economic calendar.

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1. 00:00Fundamental Analysis & News. Interest rates, inflation, employment data and the economic calendar.
2. 00:05Currencies are priced against expectations for interest rates.
3. 00:10Anything that changes a central bank's likely path — inflation, growth, jobs — moves the currency, and the surprise versus forecast matters more than the raw number.
4. 00:20Reference table: Release, Why it matters.
5. 00:25Note: Spreads widen and slippage spikes in the minutes around high-impact news. Either plan for it or stand aside.

Currencies are priced against expectations for interest rates. Anything that changes a central bank's likely path — inflation, growth, jobs — moves the currency, and the surprise versus forecast matters more than the raw number.